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Last updated on July 16th, 2017 at 12:55 pm
One hot month in Montana, and global warming is real:
The blistering heat of this past July will be the norm in less than 50 years if global warming continues as expected, a University of Montana ecologist and climate expert predicts.
Steve Running, a UM forestry professor who was one of the authors of a seminal international paper on climate change released this spring, said forecasts predict an average July in 2050 will be like the withering, record-breaking July of 2007 — with triple digit temperatures common.
“You can imagine that, little by little, over the next five decades it will become more and more common to have months like we had in July,” he said.
Imagine your head off, Professor. By the way, isn’t it called global warming? Let’s check recent temperatures outside Montana. We’ve got major coldage happening in Australia, Chile, New Zealand, England and South Africa. And now in France:
It’s official: France’s rainy, grey and generally cold summer has been the worst for the past 30 years, the weather service said Friday …
Temperatures on the Atlantic coast have been on average two or three degrees Celsius below seasonal averages, said Jean-Marc Le Gallic from Meteo France.
French chat shows have featured experts who are predicting a spike in the number of cases of depression due to a lack of sun exposure.
Among the depressed: warmenist hysterics. On the up side:
Tourist arrivals were the highest in five years.
My. George Monbiot will not be amused.
(Via Chris S.)
The water tempewrature fo the St. Lawrence river only reached about 72F this year. In 1998, it attained 76F.
So it’s cooler now than it was then.
Seriously, the “global” temperature has not r5ise, in fatc fallen slightly, since 1998.
Posted by Wimpy Canadian on 2007 08 26 at 10:15 AM • permalink
- Posted by Wimpy Canadian on 2007 08 26 at 10:15 AM • permalink
The blistering heat of this past July will be the norm in less than 50 years if global warming continues as expected, a University of Montana ecologist and climate expert predicts.
Steve Running, a UM forestry professor…
If you’re a forestry professor (or a failed divinity student), that makes you an “ecologist” and a “climate expert.” If you’re superstar physicist Freeman Dyson, and you’re skeptical of Goebbels Warning, that makes you “unqualified.”
who was one of the authors of a seminal international paper on climate change released this spring”
Seminal? Last spring? We’ve been hearing about this malarkey for at least 20 years.
“You can imagine that, little by little, over the next five decades it will become more and more common to have months like we had in July,” he said.
Well, Doctor Doom, seeing as how we’ve got a regularly-scheduled thirty year cold snap beginning in the next decade, would you care to make a wager?
said forecasts predict an average July in 2050 will be like the withering, record-breaking July of 2007 — with triple digit temperatures common.
A-ha. 2050 puts us at the beginning of the next warm cycle
… maybe the Prof isn’t as stupid as he seems and is hedging that bet…
Note to Rebecca, El Cid, Salty Dog, Grimmy, RJ and Bingley: Thanks for your comments over at Crittenden’s site; I’m glad somebody’s wading through my stuff! I’d respond directly but, ironically, although I can get into site administration, I still can’t get my PW for the comments section to work.
Jules invited some 20 bloggers to help him out (well, 19 bloggers and one blogger-impersonator) and gave us instructions to limit our posts to no more than one per day. I’m trying to link to some less well-known blogs that I’ve stumbled across (although they may be well-known to you folks). I need to make sure to link Tim, and had intended to in my first post but, to my intense mortification, was so nervous trying to get everything right with the unfamiliar software that I forgot. You know, just like a kid who goes off to college and then forgets to write home.
Jules writes to say that he’s having fun at the beach with his kids, and it doesn’t look like anybody’s overloaded his blog circuits or left the bath running all night, so, so far, so good.
I’m over in SE Washinton, kpom (sorta halfway between Montana and Portland for youse furriners); it’s not been a hot summer, but August has been nearly spring like. Almost an early fall, in fact. It’s not unusual for this area to being effing hot, up into the triple digits….I recall one August where we were the hottest part of the nation one day.
But I was intrigued by the comments of the good professor. So, for the heck of it, I checked on the average temperatures for Helena, MT in July 2007. While not conclusive, an examination of the actual versus average temperatures in July does show an usual heat wave in that neck of the woods.
But when you look at the month of August (even though we aren’t quite at the end of the month), you will see a definite cooling trend….to below average temperatures.
Again, not conclusive, but it is demonstrative that weather and climate are finicky, and Professor Running might have been less, ummmmmmmmm, inflammatory in his statements. Or perhaps less focused on simply the state of Montana, because the weather has been cool to warm most of the summer only a few hundred miles away.
BTW, Dave, I followed your suggestion, and selected “not very interesting”. I just wish there was an option for “moronic”.
Posted by The_Real_JeffS on 2007 08 26 at 12:11 PM • permalink
Since I grew up just north of St Louis, MO, I don’t ever get all the whining and complaining about hot weather. (I remember the hottest day ever recorded in Illinois—it was just after July 4, 1954 in E St Louis, and the official temp hit 118 (probably with about 110% humidity). Local thermometers registered however high they would go.)
Anyway, I now live in the Detroit area and the moaning and whinging when the temp hits the 90s is just unbelievable. And we’ve mostly got airconditoning, which we didn’t in 1954. I didn’t notice people saying much about having a cooler than normal June (which we did), they just complained about a week of hot weather in August for crying out loud.
If there’s any Gerbil Wormening going on it sure isn’t noticeable in Detroit.
Posted by JorgXMcKie on 2007 08 26 at 12:59 PM • permalink
I’ve read recently (but I won’t bothering looking for the link) that New York City has had a (near?) record-setting cold August.
Posted by andycanuck on 2007 08 26 at 02:04 PM • permalink
I returned from eastern Montana & southeastern Wyoming on Thursday. In my eavesdropping, the only time I heard complaints about hot summers being the result of ‘climate change’ it was from people “not from around here.” People who actually live ON the land, not in cities, know that conditions run in cycles
, with changes being part of the norm.Since I failed to get a Ph.D, a Master’s or even a Bachelor’s in business years ago, but HAVE raised several successful gardens since then, can I be an ‘climatology’ expert now?
Take away this guy’s air conditioning – his brain is freezing up…
On of the global warmmongers among scientists is Tjeerd van Ardel, a specialist in sedimentology (which is the study of sedimentary rocks and their precurser sediments). In his book “Science At Sea” published in the 1970s he was flogging the current conventional wisdom that we were inevitably headed into a new Ice Age soon, and mentioned that the only thing that might prevent it was enhanced global warming from human CO2 emissions.
An awful lot of scientists behave in a herdlike manner, latching on to the conventional wisdom fashionable
at the moment while disregarding facts contrary to it. That is why consensus is not adequate support for any scientific theory. We should also remember that being against the consensus is not sufficient to support a theory either. As Martin Gardener once put it, it’s true that they laughed at Galileo, that they laughed at Newton, and that they laughed at Pasteur, but they also laughed at Bozo the Clown.Hmmm, science must be harder than failed divinity students and former VPs think it is. Hoodathunkit?
Posted by Michael Lonie on 2007 08 26 at 09:06 PM • permalink
It was so cold up here in NY last week that the leaves were starting to change. Then yesterday it was 90 (it was so humid there was condensation on the windows
) and then went to normal. All in all, we had a very mild summer, I hardly turned on the airconditioner and my power bill was half of what it was this time last year.
Just a few hundred miles south of the professor, Texas had the coolest July in decades.
Posted by Rittenhouse on 2007 08 27 at 09:32 AM • permalink
While here in Richmond, Virginia, amid the morons of the press flocking here like vultures, we’ve had a scorching summer.
But, like Jorge, I remember no air conditioning and temperatures in the triple digits. I remember sleeping on the side porch with the fan blowing on us, and my mother (who was not a small woman) getting in the kiddie pool with us. I also confirmed at weather.com my mother’s statement that on the day I was born, it was 100 degrees. That was almost 54 years ago.
So call me when you have some proof that there is actual gerbil warmening.
Elizabeth
Imperial KeeperPosted by Elizabeth Imperial Keeper on 2007 08 27 at 10:58 AM • permalink
Oh, well, it’s cold where I am.