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ELEVEN YEARS IN AN ETHICAL BIND

Global warm-monger Stephen Schneider ramps up the fear in 1996:

On the one hand, as scientists we are ethically bound to the scientific method, in effect promising to tell the truth, the whole truth, and nothing but — which means that we must include all the doubts, the caveats, the ifs, ands, and buts. On the other hand, we are not just scientists but human beings as well. And like most people we’d like to see the world a better place, which in this context translates into our working to reduce the risk of potentially disastrous climatic change. To do that we need to get some broadbased support, to capture the public’s imagination. That, of course, entails getting loads of media coverage. So we have to offer up scary scenarios, make simplified, dramatic statements, and make little mention of any doubts we might have. This ‘double ethical bind’ we frequently find ourselves in cannot be solved by any formula. Each of us has to decide what the right balance is between being effective and being honest. I hope that means being both.

Hit the above link. He’s still offering up simplified, scary scenarios.

UPDATE. Hey, everybody! The Australian Conservation Foundation has exciting news:

Want to win your very own DVD copy of Al Gore’s inspiring documentary, An Inconvenient Truth?

No!

We’ve got ten copies of An Inconvenient Truth to give away!

Local landfill all maxed out again?

To be in the running to win one, just tell us, in 25 words or less, what action YOU are taking in your day-to-day life to address climate change.

On Sunday I ran the air-con at home for eight hours straight. Climate didn’t change for a second.

Maybe you leave the car at home one day a week?

Maybe, if I have someone else’s car to drive.

Or make the effort to switch off lights when you aren’t in the room?

That would require quite an effort. Who am I, Stretch Armstrong?

Whatever action you take, we want to know about it! Entries close Friday February 2.

You heard the sap. Send those entries in.

Posted by Tim B. on 01/29/2007 at 09:44 AM
  1. So, for ten years we have had copies of this fanatic’s recipe for telling lies [with his idiotic justifications] propped upon the desks, not only of the dingbat academics, but the Terry Lanes’ of this world.

    Posted by LaoHuLi on 2007 01 29 at 09:58 AM • permalink

  2. Each of us has to decide what the right balance is between being effective and being honest.

    To lie, or not to lie: that is the question:
    Whether ‘tis nobler in the mind to suffer the slings and arrows of truthful debate,
    Or to tell whoppers to the masses,
    And by artful deceipt, to snow them? To lie, to debate no more; and by a lie to say we end the heart-ache and the thousand natural shocks that flesh is heir to; ‘Tis a consummation devoutly to be wished.

    With apologies to William Shakespeare

    Posted by paco on 2007 01 29 at 10:03 AM • permalink

  3. Translation:  We only lie because we are trying to make you think like we do.

    Posted by blogagog on 2007 01 29 at 10:10 AM • permalink

  4. Excellent, Paco. 

    Either the man is honest, or he is not.  And, by his scary tales, it’s obvious he has chosen not to be.  So I think we can dismiss his 10% “Russian Lugar” scenario (I think he meant German Lugar anyway, the man can’t even get his weapons right).

    Posted by RebeccaH on 2007 01 29 at 10:12 AM • permalink

  5. very nice paco

    btw, totally ot, wonwright’s secret NSW HQ revealed

    Posted by KK on 2007 01 29 at 10:17 AM • permalink

  6. Whatever action you take, we want to know about it

    I pick up two hookers at once, rather than go driving again for a second one later?

    Posted by rbj1 on 2007 01 29 at 10:25 AM • permalink

  7. So, Schneider created the “Fake but accurate” meme so in vogue with the left today, hmmmmmmm?

    Posted by The_Real_JeffS on 2007 01 29 at 10:25 AM • permalink

  8. Tim: Hilarious takedown of the Australian Conservation Foundation’s enticing offer! I’d enter but, (a) I’m not Australian and (b) I’ll be busy entering HGTV’s $2MM luxury-home give-away contest.

    How do I “address” climate change? “Good morning Gaia, Illustrious and Fickle Bitch-Goddess of Weather. What sadistic climate changes do you have in store for us today?”

    Posted by paco on 2007 01 29 at 10:28 AM • permalink

  9. Somebody on this blog pointed out something true. It is not really the “science” that is bogus. It has been exagerated woefully by the watermellons in the press, but the science is ok.

    Where the climate models break down is the economic analysis. The Stern Report for example, is ridiculous on the face of it. The risible assumptions that go into predicting economic growth, and by extension, CO2 production used in these models is where the focus needs to be.

    Oh yeah, and we rely on the Chinese govt to report to use their cabon use. I wonder if it is the same guy who was responsible for reporting on SARS?

    Another question I have, and I do not know the answer for this, do the models take into account the “consensus” among those who study these things that the worlds population is expected to peak sometime in this century?

    This is an incredibly difficult problem that requires not just a “multidisciplinary” approach, but experts in each field, not just some jack of all trades “computer scientist” that is good at creating scary graphs.

    And by “problem”, I mean achieving even a minimal understanding of the interplay of human economic activity and the climate. Right now the solutions are “hacks”, a hack is defined in “computer science” as an attempt to solve a problem without understanding it.

    Boy I feel better getting that rant off my chest.

    By the way, it has be between -15 and +15F degrees here for the last week or more. And the +15s have been rare. The ice on the lake is now a foot thick. So I guess we dodged disaster for another year.

    Posted by moptop on 2007 01 29 at 10:36 AM • permalink

  10. I promise to eat more beef to lower the amount of cow flatulence in the atmosphere.

    Posted by Latino on 2007 01 29 at 10:38 AM • permalink

  11. If that’s what the Professor really said, he should confine himself to writing or discussing his opinions in the media, and leave the real science to scientists.

    I don’t see any ethical dilemma if you value and practice honesty.

    Posted by Stevo on 2007 01 29 at 10:39 AM • permalink

  12. #8 paco:
    You certainly know how to conserve words.  Only 21 from a maximum of 25 used.  A few more hyphens to save words will cling it.  Not too sure about bold though, is bold allowed?

    Posted by Stevo on 2007 01 29 at 10:47 AM • permalink

  13. This guy is good. Not long ago I read a book on Joseph Goebbels. This guy Schneider, has virtually used the same justification as old JG used to justify Germany’s foreign policy. Similiar drivel about what is good for the people, and that we must use any method in which to get our message across. When queried about the, then free press in Germany, he said we will keep repeating the message over and over again, eventually they will fall into line, without even questioning the situation.

    Posted by BJM on 2007 01 29 at 10:49 AM • permalink

  14. "So we have to offer up scary scenarios, make simplified, dramatic statements, and make little mention of any doubts we might have.”

    So when environmentalists say “humans are responsible for climate change” they are capturing “the public’s imagination” in order “to reduce the risk of potentially disastrous climatic change”, this is a good thing.

    But when someone says “terrorists are responsible for terrorism” they are “disregarding the nuance of the situation” in order to “fight a war against a verb” - and this is a bad thing.

    Posted by Villeurbanne on 2007 01 29 at 11:02 AM • permalink

  15. In response to #4, he is not talking about a Russian Lugar, but playing Russian Roulette with a Lugar i.e. an automatic. Which would be a very bad thing, because if it is loaded you will “lose”.

    But given this his maths are all screwed up in that he is saying a 10% chance of global climate distruction is worse than a 17% chance of getting killed in standard Russian Roulette (1 out of 6). Which to his feveared mind actually makes some sense.

    Bart

    Posted by BCNemmers on 2007 01 29 at 11:17 AM • permalink

  16. There’s no ‘double ethical bind’ for this clown, it’s a simple ethical problem: he decided they should lie.

    I address climate change as follows: since my carbon footprint partly depends on
    How often I hit the range,
    Which guns I fire, and
    How many rounds fired,
    I try to enlarge my footprint at every opportunity.

    Posted by Firehand on 2007 01 29 at 11:22 AM • permalink

  17. MopTop, The science IS distinctly dodgy.

    Especially those “models”.

    Posted by Rob Read on 2007 01 29 at 12:05 PM • permalink

  18. I’m heating my house by starting small fires in wastebaskets this year.

    Posted by rhhardin on 2007 01 29 at 12:23 PM • permalink

  19. ...25 words or less?? Geez!

    I had to content myself with:

    I will be burning much more wood in the fireplace this winter and I will be driving out each day in my SUV to buy it
    .

    It’s 26 words, I know.  I sure hope this doesn’t disqualify me from winning this valuable prize.

    I’ll be really pissed off if rhhardin wins ane of these exciting and informative DVDs and I don’t.

    Posted by Jack from Montreal on 2007 01 29 at 12:34 PM • permalink

  20. My point is that the models contain economic and demographic predictions that are pure socialist phantasmagoria.

    Any scientist who thinks he can included ‘fudge factors’ to stand in for the above, and out of his area of competence, because, after all, Newton fudged his experiments, is not a scientist, but a propagandist.

    Incidentally, I don’t include the “hockey stick” graphs as science. They won’t release the calculations that they use, so one can only assume prestidigitation (pardon the pun). I have never heard of a scientist withholding his calculation methods.

    Posted by moptop on 2007 01 29 at 12:40 PM • permalink

  21. So, first prize is a copy of An Inconvenient Truth. Second prise is… two copies?

    Posted by Brentbo on 2007 01 29 at 12:53 PM • permalink

  22. I have devised an apparatus to recycle one’s own flatulence back to the nose, to be recycled with each breath, thus preventing air pollution.

    One word to spare, and a sure bet to win.

    Posted by Harry Bergeron on 2007 01 29 at 02:00 PM • permalink

  23. "I’ve made up these certificates for your members to buy, which gives them permission to exhale.  If caught without a certificate, you will be shot.”

    Posted by saltydog on 2007 01 29 at 02:19 PM • permalink

  24. “Or make the effort to switch off lights when you aren’t in the room?”

    That would require quite an effort. Who am I, Stretch Armstrong?

    Well, that’s it for this monitor.

    Posted by Dave S. on 2007 01 29 at 03:05 PM • permalink

  25. I am NOT flying private jets to premiers of my movies, and promise only to fly commerical when I attend an opening at Sundance.

    Posted by Room 237 on 2007 01 29 at 03:14 PM • permalink

  26. The “scary scenarios” have forced governments to take another look at the nuclear power option.

    Posted by chrisgo on 2007 01 29 at 04:00 PM • permalink

  27. I sent one in that should make the younger, less manually dexterous greenies somewhat unhappier when they understand the impact of their decision to buy a car with an automatic transmission. “What, me? Have to learn to drive a manual? Can’t we make automatics better?”

    "Force people to drive manual cars instead of automatic immediately saving at least 5% on their petrol use and millions of tons of CO2"
    Posted by Jack Lacton on 2007 01 29 at 04:55 PM • permalink

  28. #26 chrisgo

    The “scary scenarios” have forced governments to take another look at the nuclear power option.

    In some ways, the Greenies’ ridiculous hyperbole has been a blessing in disguise.

    Posted by Spiny Norman on 2007 01 29 at 05:06 PM • permalink

  29. I cut down the trees on my land and burn them before they can rot into methane.

    I keep the chain sharp on my saw so as not to waste gas.

    I never use my SUV when I would rather ride my snowmobile.

    If anybody mentions Al Gore as anything but the butt of a joke on my boat, I throw them overboard, thus saving fuel and reducing emissions.

    I eat nothing but meat, berries, and animal fat, this Eskimo type diet greatly reduces my personal methane emissions and puts me in touch with my inner polar bear.

    How could I ever restrict it to 25 words?!?

    I am a regular climate saint!

    I can’t help but think of the South Park episode where everybody bought hybrids and fell in love with the smell of their own farts.

    Posted by moptop on 2007 01 29 at 05:17 PM • permalink

  30. "I have decisively reduced methane production through dramatically lowering baked bean intake.”

    And that’s a sacrifice! No more dutch ovens in our household!

    Posted by OzJohnny on 2007 01 29 at 06:25 PM • permalink

  31. #5 KK.

    Man, are you going to be in trouble! Next you’ll be revealing the easter eggs and secret portals on that “shopfront” site! Expect a visit from MarkL or Wron himself.

    *edges away from KK towards the door, whilst keeping back to the wall, the declares in overly loud voice*

    “No, KK, I don’t know what you are talking about......ummm....I gotta go.”

    Posted by Penguin on 2007 01 29 at 07:27 PM • permalink

  32. I’ve closed the ACF’s account at Qantas - and saved 18 words today. Damn it, 13 words. Shit, 9 ....

    Posted by Contrail on 2007 01 29 at 07:40 PM • permalink

  33. So enviro-activists admit that they’d rather curse the darkness than turn on a light.

    Posted by andycanuck on 2007 01 29 at 08:23 PM • permalink

  34. Quiggers Stephen Schneider antennae must be twitching by now. Expect him to post in defense of Schneider within hours.

    No doubt, he’ll claim Schneider has been grievously and maliciously ill treated and misquoted whilst ignoring Schneider’s very same sins against others (eg Lomborg).

    Posted by JubJub on 2007 01 29 at 08:36 PM • permalink

  35. Dear Hippie,

    My friends and I kept an air-conditioner running from Thursday night to Monday morning, sometimes with the door open. Most of the time we were frollicking in the heated pool, which was totally unnecessary because it was 40degs every freaking day. Door to the house was often left open creating a cool thermal effect at the doorway. The temp on Sunday was 40degs. Today it is 28degs. Our work?

    You can keep your shitty DVD (I can sleep without assistance), but I will accept cash.

    Posted by Infidel Tiger on 2007 01 29 at 08:55 PM • permalink

  36. Hey I “Entered Now!”

    I explained that it was -30C last night and in 6 month’s time will be +30C. So, this morning, I ran the Jeep for 30 minutes before I entered. I hope I do change the climate.

    It’s cold. (Still no sign of dem Polaris Bears, tho).

    Posted by Wimpy Canadian on 2007 01 29 at 09:01 PM • permalink

  37. Frolicking Mole - raise you - Mrs Razor turned on the AC on Wednesday morning and we turned it off for the first time this morning (Tuesday).  Yesterday I went and parked in Kings Park to read the paper and eat lunch and left the 5.7 litre V8 running to run the AC.

    Posted by Razor on 2007 01 29 at 09:06 PM • permalink

  38. Moptop, actually, no, the science isn’t OK. It’s been fixed and fiddled and no longer can be considered by sensible people.

    The IPCC and the lumpen bureacratiat have a lot of their easy money riding on this.

    Posted by Wimpy Canadian on 2007 01 29 at 09:11 PM • permalink

  39. #22 I out-bid you with my Anal Extractor which sucks the GGs out before they are even released to the environment.

    Posted by Wimpy Canadian on 2007 01 29 at 09:16 PM • permalink

  40. I’m addressing climate change by flying economy next time I go overseas, and telling the crew on the cruise ship to turn out their cabin lights when they’re not in their cabins,

    Posted by pjw on 2007 01 29 at 09:20 PM • permalink

  41. Hey, I got an emil from the ACF this morning thanking me for my entry.

    So I guess I’m in with a chance.

    God, I’m so excited I just don’t seem to be able to concentrate on my work (which is flooding rainforests)

    Posted by Jack from Montreal on 2007 01 29 at 10:58 PM • permalink

  42. That would, of course be ..email..

    Perview etc etc

    Posted by Jack from Montreal on 2007 01 29 at 10:59 PM • permalink

  43. We’ve got ten copies of An Inconvenient Truth to give away!
    So this is a joke right?
    The NSW education dept. is offering FREE copies to all high schools to use in their environment discussions.

    And some people are actually going to vote Labor at the March election. What more can you say?

    Posted by Bonmot on 2007 01 30 at 12:50 AM • permalink

  44. It may not be honest to tamper with Schneider’s hot, nourishing broth but it will be effective.

    Posted by Inurbanus on 2007 01 30 at 01:53 AM • permalink

  45. Noticed the DVD for Inconvenient Whatever at JB Hi Fi. It comes in environmentally friendly packaging (including the plastic wrap apparently) and they promise to plant a tree for every DVD sold. Sort of a “buy this DVD or the seed gets it” threat.

    Maybe they should have made the DVD environmentally friendly as well. Make it out of bakelite and encode it with a laser created by directing the sun with a magnifying glass.

    Posted by Francis H on 2007 01 30 at 02:09 AM • permalink

  46. i have been using whalanol as fuel additive reducing both my dependence on fossil fuels and my carbon footprint

    i have built a small backyard nuclear reactor and have been selling the excess electricity back to the grid

    Posted by drscroogemcduck on 2007 01 30 at 05:00 AM • permalink

  47. I’m going to apply because i live in canada and the thought of someone sending a movie full of lies by airplane all the way around the world gives me warm fuzzies.

    But then if gore can fly all over why not his movie.

    Posted by hollingshead on 2007 01 30 at 11:18 AM • permalink

  48. Thanks for your entry!  You’re now in the running to win one of 10 DVD copies of
    Al Gore’s “An Inconvenient Truth”. Good luck!

    I know everyones stopped reading the thread but,... got my email better i get it than some one less deserving.

    Posted by hollingshead on 2007 01 31 at 10:51 AM • permalink

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