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BATTLE FLUID
Captain Ed notes some late-breaking poll shifts towards Republicans:
Tennessee: Bob Corker pulling away from Harold Ford
Missouri: Dead heat between Jim Talent and Claire McCaskill; both have had slight leads in the last few polls
Virginia: James Webb has dropped his five-point lead over George Allen, and it’s now a dead heat
Maryland: Michael Steele has pulled into a tie with Benjamin Cardin, despite the heavy Democratic Party registration advantage
Montana: Conrad Burns has come back from double-digit deficits to tie Jon Tester
Hit the Captain’s site for links within the above. Meanwhile, the New York Times predicts Republican doom:
The battle for Congress rolled into a climactic final weekend with Republican Party leaders saying the best outcome they could foresee was losing 12 seats in the House. But they were increasingly steeling themselves for the loss of at least 15 seats and therefore control of the House for the first time in 12 years.
Democrats and Republicans said the battle over the Senate had grown fluid going into the final hours before the elections Tuesday. Democrats said they thought they were almost certain to gain four or five seats and still had a shot at the six they need to take control.
Gonna be a lively week.
UPDATE. The SMH’s Paul McGeough:
Might a death sentence for Saddam save the Bush Republicans from a death sentence of their own when Americans vote in midterm elections tomorrow?
The probable answer is a resounding “No” ... The most likely news that will keep the judges’ decision on the electoral radar in the US is an anticipated wave of insurgency attacks on American forces in Iraq, which will serve only to remind voters why they were planning to punish the US President, George Bush, in the first place.
McGeough seems quite upset at Saddam’s treatment, even before the old bastard learned of his “suspended sentence”:
We had all the drama of his arrest, when the 69-year-old fugitive was dragged ignominiously from a hole in the ground. Then there was the ousted dictator’s humiliating medical examination before the cameras of the world and - later - his demeaning arrival in chains in the cage-like dock in which he has starred for the last year in a Baghdad court.
Was he clean shaven, Paul?
UPDATE II. Further signs of a late shift towards the Republicans.
The latet Washington Post-ABC poll shows a shift from a 14% Dem advantage to 6% on a generic ballot among likely voters, though the Washington Post spins it for the Dems. Incredible. Yet, Newsweek now shows a 16% generic Dem advantage.
Rush Limbaugh said that some polls would become more accurate in the final days in order to retain credibility especially with paying clients.
From Dems +14% to +6% in two weeks? Incredible. Rush said something about polls tending to beoome more accurate in the final days in order to maintain polling firms’ credibility with clients.
And Geraghty at National Review Online‘s TKS points out that the ABC News/Washington Post on Nov. 6, 1994 had the Dems ahead on the generic ballot among registered voters 47% to 42% and on Oct. 31, 1994, 48% to 44%, a movement to Dems +5% from +4%. 1994 was the year the Republicans took over both houses of Congress. I predict that, if there’s another Washington Post-ABC poll this year, it will show the Dems regaining a bigger lead. History shows there’s good reason not to trust the polls.
Good luck one hundred times over
You deserve to win exponentially Republicans…
o.t Crikey article by Peter Faris Q.C.
“How I was cancelled by the S.B.S. Politburo.-
affectionately known as the Soviet Broadcasting System.
ITS PURPOSE IS TO GIVE THE LEFT A SECOND T.V. STATION (AFTER THE A.B.C.) OF THEIR OWN.I was shocked on Tuesday to receive a phone call from Miss Worthington of S.B.S.,asking me onto an Insight programme,“Women in Islam”.(discussing the Sheik’s comments on cat meat etc).
I gave her the usual cautions,I’m a right winger,think SBS is a pack of Lefties,that the Comrades would not want me anywhere near,that I have very strong views on Muslims.I referred her to my blog,after pre interviewing,she e mailed me ‘“after consulting with my colleagues,we believe you would make a valuable contribution to the programme.I was contacted yesterday morning about arrangements for my flight to Sydney. cont’..I will be so glad when Wednesday arrives. I keep getting recorded messages on my answering machine from running dopes, I have to DVR tv shows so I can zoom through the electioneering ads (last week, an anti-Erlich ad ran, then a pro-Erlich ad ran right afterwards), and I just hate all this yadda yadda.
Voting for Erlich, anyways, because he’s pro-Israel and such. Shh! Don’t tell!
cont’ “then something happened -perhaps another meeting of the Comrades,probably of the Central Committee,it was decided I was to be UNINVITED,too many people on the show.I was sent an email “SBS FORUM CANCELLATION,though the forum was not cancelled JUST ME.I am concerned for poor Miss Worthington,will Yeschev? make her disappear for Committing Acts Against the Safety and Security of SBS? I hope not,but I did try to warn her.
I am very well qualified to speak at this forum.I am a taxpaying,white,anglo celtic,fourth generation Australian.I have been a criminal lawyer for over forty years.I am very well read on Muslim issues,have a high media profile,comment regularly on radio,tv and in the newspapers on current issues,including Islam.
My views,though conservative,reflect those of mainstream Australia.
Do I really care -not at all.
But perhaps it is a small illustration of how DIFFICULT it is for people like ME to BE HEARD ON SBS OR THE ABC..” article ends.
Caps mine.ushie McGeough would be HONOURED to have custody of Saddam.
o.t Senior police afraid rocket propelled grenade launchers smuggled into the country by organised crime groups may be sold to terrorists.
N.S.W. premier Iemma is “deeply concerned”.
Opposition leader Debenham is not happy as he has raised the matter before.Expect McGeough to whine even more. Saddam has been sentenced to death by hanging.
The appeals process remains ahead, but this is good news.
Posted by The_Real_JeffS on 2006 11 05 at 11:42 AM • permalinkRe. McGeough: spare me the Saddam apologia. He had a choice about being caught alive and either going out like a man (a POS man to be sure but still) like his sons or even taking the Hitler/Nazi route and killing himself first. So he’s got no one to blame but himself for his “humiliation”.
Posted by andycanuck on 2006 11 05 at 12:19 PM • permalinkAnd, I’d add, this also shows that Saddam
wasis, indeed, a complete and utter coward.Posted by andycanuck on 2006 11 05 at 12:20 PM • permalinkI wholeheartedly believe in the two-party system, and I’m not happy to have one party in control of everything. BUT. The Democrats have betrayed every principle they ever stood for, and have delivered themselves into the hands of the Kerrys, the Kennedys, the nutroots, ad nauseam, and I don’t see a viable alternative to voting Republican right now. I don’t care what the polls say.
We’ve got our own versions of Paul McGeough over here in the US. They never met a sociopathic, murdering dictactor they couldn’t love. Imagine the breast-beating when Castro finally bites it any day now.
I’ll bet Saddam’s jailers don’t even put a mint on his pillow every night!
Posted by Jim Treacher on 2006 11 05 at 12:46 PM • permalinkOh, gads, RebeccaH, can you imagine the weeping and handwringing from Ed Asner, Steven Speilberg, Jack Nicholson, etc., when the wizened toad of Cuba finally carks it?
Thanks for the reminder, ushie. I’ll be sure to avoid the boob tube, else I might throw something at it.
Posted by The_Real_JeffS on 2006 11 05 at 01:32 PM • permalinkThis is how I feel about the upcoming election. If it’s not the crap clogging up blogs about the interchangeable clones we have to vote for, it’s the awful commercials, the vote-for-me! garbage clogging up my snailmailbox, and the crowning irritation, the effing recorded messages that ring my phone at 9-effing-pm. I’d rather throw them all into a moat full of alligators than vote for any of them.
Posted by Andrea Harris, Administrator on 2006 11 05 at 02:15 PM • permalinkI hear that Joe Lieberman is leaving Ned Whatshisname in the dust. All the best for Tuesday, Joe.
Posted by SwinishCapitalist on 2006 11 05 at 05:36 PM • permalinkI have been called by Robert Redford, both Hillary and Bill, Feinstein,...the list goes on. That doesn’t even count the unions et al, who have called me about their favorite pet projects. One after the other, all night long.
Thankfully, my hubby finally bought me a nerf ball a couple of weeks ago to throw at the the TV. He said he was having nightmares that I was going to thoroughly trash the new flat screen. He was right. The nerf ball won’t harm the screen, that’s true, but it is only marginally satisfying.
I held my nose and voted a straight Republican ticket. It was more in protest—my first inclination was to abstain because ... well, there is just no one. I vote AGAINST people. I’m so sick of voting like this. I’d give anything to be able to vote FOR someone before I die.
We had all the drama of his arrest, when the 69-year-old fugitive was dragged ignominiously from a hole in the ground.
Pardon me, but is there any way other than ignominiously to be dragged from a hole in the ground? Isn’t hiding in a hole like a rat pretty ignominious, in and of itself? And are we to feel sorry for Saddam because he’s old enough to get the senior discount on gravy and biscuits down at Hardee’s? McGeough has set himself quite a task in trying to generate sympathy for this murderous dictator; I don’t think he’s succeeding.
Citizen Clinton, I could put up with.
I couldn’t. It would mean that Madame De Farge-Rodham had declared herself Gonadtator of the United Villages of America and had scrapped the Constitution in favor of a new Committee for Public Health.
Posted by Andrea Harris, Administrator on 2006 11 05 at 08:04 PM • permalinkMcGeough has no sympathy for Hussein’s victims?
Posted by Wimpy Canadian on 2006 11 05 at 08:08 PM • permalinkwronwright needs to break out an emergency supply of Sumerian mead for us on that day.—Posted by RebeccaH
What? Out of my personal reserve stock? Are you referring to the Sumerian casks of golden mead, each tagged with a cylinder seal? The Akkadian casks with cuneiform letters describing swaying dancing girls and ectasy? Or the Pharoah’s secret blend, some of which Moses filched and named it manna. (I got the casks that fell off the carts on their run across the Red Sea. Yes! Thank you Ramses.)
Um, I’m actually running rather low. I think I can send these gals over with some Old Milwaukee. Most of you wouldn’t know the difference.
Posted by wronwright on 2006 11 05 at 08:35 PM • permalinkI’m pretty much in agreement with 91B30…my sober prediction has the GOP hold the Senate and lose the House, and optimistically I’m expecting them to narrowly keep the House, too. We’ll see soon enough.
I must admit that 218 GOP/217 DEM and 50 GOP/49 DEM + Lieberman would probably be the most entertaining outcome.
#24 I believe that you can also buy foam bricks for the same purpose, salty, that might be a bit more satisfying throwing at e.g. Jack Cafferty’s head than a Nerf ball.
Posted by andycanuck on 2006 11 05 at 11:15 PM • permalinkRush has put out an “amber alert” for Nancy Pelosi as the Dems are doing their level best to hide their true stripes before Tuesday. I’m with everyone else. I don’t even answer the phone anymore. We voted last Tuesday, but they don’t know that of course.
I just don’t want to get to know any head tilt sites on a first name basis, if you know what I mean.
The only thing to avoid like the plague would be the Dems taking both houses with a very large shift in the House. If that is the case, there wil be no holding back some of the real nutters in their who will have control of some of the real power committees. That would become thermo nuclear war.
Careful wronwright. Old Milwaukee is drinkable and shouldn’t be disparaged. For a real looser you could have referred to Bosch Beer. Ya, it’s pronounced “Bush”, but for all that it was the Worst. Beer. Ever. And I’ve drunk local brands on five continents, so far.
I’ll take some Irish mead if your aged stock is running low. Was good last time I tried it.
Oh, and why does any thinking person put any stock in U.S. polls? You know who runs them. I still have hopes for another MSM meltdown come Tuesday evening.
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This is the funniest thing I’ve seen this week. I don’t know who the guy is, but this is one of the greatest Kery putdowns, EVER.
Via The Jawa Report