CHANGE THIRSTED

Reuters political correspondent John Whitesides anticipates big juicy Democrat victories:

Democrats enter the final week of the fight for Congress with a commanding edge over Republicans, who hope a major voter turnout effort and shift in focus away from Iraq can limit their losses.

Recent polls show that growing Democratic momentum, fed by dissatisfaction with President Bush’s leadership and the war in Iraq, threatens Republican power in the U.S. House of Representatives and Senate.

The public’s thirst for change in Washington has Republicans pondering how bad things will be in the November 7 election and calculating whether they can stop Democrats from picking up the 15 House and six Senate seats needed to claim majorities.

Pollmeister Scott Elliott notes recent Republican gains, however—which may continue if John Kerry keeps this up:

The military record of a Democratic House candidate was under attack. So, Senator John F. Kerry ventured to the Philadelphia suburbs last week to defend Patrick Murphy—and deliver the kind of speech the senator never quite gave when his own wartime service was called into question in 2004.

“Attacking Patrick Murphy for his service is a little bit like Jessica Simpson attacking Albert Einstein’s IQ,” the Massachusetts Democrat proclaimed Thursday at a chilly outdoor rally at Bucks County Community College.

Kind of artless with the jokes, isn’t he?

Posted by Tim B. on 10/30/2006 at 01:02 PM
    1. That was a joke?

      Joke = funny

      John Kerry has never been intentionally funny in his life.

      Posted by SoberHT on 2006 10 30 at 01:17 PM • permalink

 

    1. “Attacking Patrick Murphy for his service is a little bit like Jessica Simpson attacking Albert Einstein’s IQ,”

      Whereas attacking John Kerry’s IQ would be like Jessica Simpson attacking Albert Einstein’s looks – spot on.

      John Whitesides? What an excellent name for a lily-livered Reuters correspondent.

      Posted by paco on 2006 10 30 at 01:17 PM • permalink

 

    1. O/T But still related to Dem victory and John Kerry.

      The nation of the “un-named is at it again.

      Woman badly burned on a bus in Marseille after North African yutes set the bus ablaze.

      hmmm.

      Marseille
      Marseillaise

      Posted by yojimbo on 2006 10 30 at 01:36 PM • permalink

 

    1. If I was Jessica Simpson, I would now campaign on behalf of Patrick Murphy’s opponent.  Her campaign motto:  fuck you horse face.

      Or she could choose something a little more classy I suppose.

      Posted by wronwright on 2006 10 30 at 01:37 PM • permalink

 

    1. John Yellowquill might work just as well.

      Posted by yojimbo on 2006 10 30 at 01:38 PM • permalink

 

    1. #4, Wronwright “If I was Jessica Simpson, I would now campaign on behalf of Patrick Murphy’s opponent.  Her campaign motto:  fuck you horse face.”

      Sorry mate, but I doubt you look anything like that in short shorts…

      “Hey Kerry, Why The LONG Face?”

      Posted by The_Wizard_of_WOZ on 2006 10 30 at 01:50 PM • permalink

 

    1. “The gavel of the speaker of the House is in the hands of special interests, and now it will be in the hands of America’s children.”—Nancy Pelosi.

      Well, give Nancy credit. She’s honest about herself and her Democratic colleagues.

      Posted by Dave S. on 2006 10 30 at 01:55 PM • permalink

 

    1. I’m just going to vote against every incumbant.

      Posted by aaron_ on 2006 10 30 at 01:58 PM • permalink

 

    1. 4: LOL! I think that “campaign platform” is perfect.

      Hey, wronwright, you haven’t spotted any Guardian types nosing around in Ohio during this election season, have you? Maybe wearing false beards and dark glasses, handing out pro-Democrat brochures with subtle arguments like, “You’d have to be the most priceless ass to vote Republican this year”?

      Posted by paco on 2006 10 30 at 02:15 PM • permalink

 

    1. Maybe he meant to say the Dixie Chicks?

      Posted by andycanuck on 2006 10 30 at 02:36 PM • permalink

 

    1. Any Republican last stand this year will rely largely on the party’s vaunted voter turnout effort, which most analysts say is usually worth one or two percentage points.

      Yeah, well, I figure media bias (which in this election is baldfaced and unabashed with the US media a virtual Democratic megaphone—CNN, following on the heels of its propaganda video featuring American GIs getting picked off by snipers, is running a series of specials called Where the Right Went Wrong) is good for about five points and voter fraud another one to two points and still (or so I believe) the Dems will fall short of their goals.

      Independent analysts suggest Democrats will gain 20 to 35 House seats…

      “Given the political climate, there seems to be no question there will be bad losses for Republicans,” said Amy Walter, a House analyst with the non-partisan Cook Political Report. “The question is how bad will they be?”

      That’s a whole lot of chickens to be counting before the eggs have even been laid.

      I want Republicans to win this election (even though they don’t deserve to) not only because of what’s at stake, but so I can watch all the media, pundit and lefty heads exploding.

      “A lot of these people in the GOP, the Republican Party—they think somehow that they served because they played with GI dolls when they were little,” Kerry said.

      And what kind of dolls did little Johnny play with? Did Mattel make a Gigolo Ken doll back then?

      Murphy beamed at Kerry’s side in Newtown, calling him “one of America’s great leaders.”

      Reason enough not to vote for the man—poor guy’s delusional.

      Is Jessica one of the Simpsons? I don’t see anyone getting much milage out of insulting a cartoon character.

      Posted by Kyda Sylvester on 2006 10 30 at 03:09 PM • permalink

 

    1. But the cartoon characters are insulting the GOP, Kyda:
      http://tinyurl.com/urw4j
      (via Michelle Malkin)

      Posted by andycanuck on 2006 10 30 at 03:24 PM • permalink

 

    1. Many Democrats remain angry with Kerry over his failure to more aggressively combat Republican smears in 2004.

      John Kerry didn’t defend his combat record because he had no defense.  And Democrats who aren’t completely batshit crazy know that.  I’m tremendously suspicious of anyone who needs John Kerry to defend them.

      As for the elections, I’m voting Republican, as mad as I am at them.  A Doomicrat victory is just too horrible a thing to contemplate.

      Posted by RebeccaH on 2006 10 30 at 03:27 PM • permalink

 

    1. #13: As for the elections, I’m voting Republican, as mad as I am at them.  A Doomicrat victory is just too horrible a thing to contemplate.

      My sentiments exactly, Rebecca. “Punishing” the Republicans by voting in the Democrats would be a spectacular example of cutting off the collective nose to spite the collective face. In the middle of a war against terrorists, that would be a particularly bad idea.

      Posted by paco on 2006 10 30 at 03:41 PM • permalink

 

    1. Many Democrats remain angry with Kerry over his failure to more aggressively combat Republican smears in 2004.

      Who needs to smear him when the formerly Irish John Kerry is running around telling whoppers like:

      I remember Christmas of 1968 sitting on a gunboat in Cambodia. I remember what it was like to be shot at by Vietnamese and Khmer Rouge and Cambodians, and have the president of the United States telling the American people that I was not there; the troops were not in Cambodia. I have that memory which is seared—seared—in me.

      It’s like he pulls this stuff out of the hat he keeps in the secret compartment in his briefcase, or something.

      Posted by Bruce Rheinstein on 2006 10 30 at 03:43 PM • permalink

 

    1. Bruce: in LLL-speak, doing things like pointing out that the Christmas in Cambodia tale is untrue is smearing Kerry.

      Posted by Patrick Chester on 2006 10 30 at 05:27 PM • permalink

 

    1. Predictions people:

      I’m going to say Republicans retain control of the Senate 52-48 and the House 220-215.

      There was a story this morning on FR about how the Republican write-in candidate for TX-22 Shelley Sekula-Gibbs (Tom Delay’s old seat) was within striking distance of the Democratic challenger.

      Every election watcher has this seat as a Dem pickup, but that is starting to look less certain.

      Election projection is tracking several races-almost entirely opportunities for Dem pickups.  Most of those have Republican incumbents and I still think that the power of incumbency will carry most of them through.

      Posted by 68W40 on 2006 10 30 at 06:09 PM • permalink

 

    1. You know, sometimes I think Kerry would have mounted a stronger defence in 2004 if they had really, literally smeared him (as in, dirt on his face or whatever). That’s the kind of thing I imagine would raise his fighting spirit.

      The Swifties and Unfit For Command, on the other hand, probably barely punctured the guy’s “legend in his own mind” attitude, hence the all-talk-no-walk defense his campaign mounted. (Of course, the fact that he had nuthin’ probably didn’t help, but when has that ever stopped Democrats before?)

      Posted by PW on 2006 10 30 at 06:15 PM • permalink

 

    1. And no, I’m not too stupid to spell defen[cs]e consistently, I just try to placate all camps here.

      Posted by PW on 2006 10 30 at 06:17 PM • permalink

 

    1. Scott Elliot is generally a better bet than any poll you can name…I’ve been watching him for years.

      He has an interesting and tragic background you might want to read up on in the archives of his blog, but thru it all has been scrupulously fair.

      He’s got the GOP bottoming out last week and coming back.  The Senate will stay GOP, and the House is basically a toss up right now with the GOP on the rise.  The majority of Governors will go Dim.

      Posted by trainer on 2006 10 30 at 07:15 PM • permalink

 

    1. It seems to me that the GOP has done a “Queensland”.  Despite winning the last few elections easily they have managed to make themselves appear the underdogs. What this means is that everyone will be trying harder and the Dems, thinking they have it won already, have no reason to turn up and vote.  Very well done!

      Posted by allan on 2006 10 30 at 07:51 PM • permalink

 

    1. I’ll go out on a limb and say that the GOP will gain seats in the house.

      Posted by Andjam on 2006 10 30 at 08:56 PM • permalink

 

    1. Could someone please explain to me why they’re called the GOP?

      Posted by The_Wizard_of_WOZ on 2006 10 30 at 11:08 PM • permalink

 

    1. #23 I think it stands for Grand Old Party.  At least that’s what I learnt on Fox News…

      Posted by anthony_r on 2006 10 30 at 11:27 PM • permalink

 

    1. It is especially funny given that Simpson’s IQ has been reported by Vanity Fair at being 160! Not that they don’t get it wrong often.

      Posted by captain on 2006 10 30 at 11:40 PM • permalink

 

    1. 160?  Ok having never seen that show, I cant say if she is really dumb or not (even then I wouldn’t, its TV people).

      But 160?  Thats an awful waste.  She should be trying to cure cancer or helping maximise the profits at PACO Corp.

      You know, something for the benefit of all mankind.

      Posted by The_Wizard_of_WOZ on 2006 10 31 at 12:13 AM • permalink

 

    1. God’s Own Party? Sorry. Couldn’t resist.

      Posted by SwinishCapitalist on 2006 10 31 at 02:24 AM • permalink

 

    1. Jessica Simpson does benefit all of mankind. And there is nothing wrong with that.

      Posted by captain on 2006 10 31 at 03:01 AM • permalink

 

    1. #27, Scarily enough, that was the first thing through my head…

      Posted by The_Wizard_of_WOZ on 2006 10 31 at 03:45 AM • permalink

 

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